Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.043396 0.050644 0.058613 0.068008 0.078767 0.090684 0.104867
2025-06-01 0.032368 0.041795 0.053126 0.067683 0.085817 0.107585 0.135612
2025-06-08 0.024390 0.034454 0.047537 0.065646 0.089891 0.121036 0.163848
2025-06-15 0.020584 0.031436 0.046530 0.068788 0.100447 0.143473 0.205883
2025-06-22 0.016857 0.027671 0.043674 0.068673 0.106221 0.159868 0.241467
2025-06-29 0.013635 0.023952 0.040131 0.066788 0.108870 0.171791 0.271668
2025-07-06 0.011360 0.021251 0.037611 0.065906 0.112632 0.185399 0.305378
2025-07-13 0.010345 0.020448 0.037953 0.069528 0.123723 0.211095 0.359862
2025-07-20 0.009309 0.019400 0.037678 0.071984 0.133046 0.234729 0.413115
2025-07-27 0.007880 0.017344 0.035282 0.070341 0.135078 0.246445 0.447738
2025-08-03 0.006818 0.015804 0.033580 0.069667 0.138615 0.260849 0.487933
2025-08-10 0.005763 0.014073 0.031235 0.067417 0.138925 0.269506 0.518710
2025-08-17 0.004913 0.012649 0.029331 0.065854 0.140499 0.280848 0.555861
2025-08-24 0.004343 0.011750 0.028382 0.066093 0.145587 0.299110 0.607280
2025-08-31 0.003707 0.010563 0.026617 0.064360 0.146490 0.309501 0.644841
2025-09-07 0.003493 0.010388 0.027102 0.067576 0.157951 0.341342 0.726134
2025-09-14 0.003100 0.009665 0.026192 0.067525 0.162442 0.359702 0.782485
2025-09-21 0.002664 0.008728 0.024614 0.065698 0.162816 0.369679 0.822815
2025-09-28 0.002337 0.008030 0.023512 0.064843 0.165238 0.384055 0.873203
2025-10-05 0.002245 0.008012 0.024175 0.068419 0.178221 0.421903 0.975365
2025-10-12 0.002109 0.007832 0.024374 0.070842 0.188728 0.455221 1.070368
2025-10-19 0.001838 0.007152 0.023085 0.069225 0.189333 0.466752 1.119286
2025-10-26 0.001633 0.006644 0.022201 0.068561 0.192189 0.483532 1.180928